Board Thread:Event Discussion/@comment-24167698-20140127155950

I've decided to repost it from Ice Crystal Mirage page in the hopes of gathering some actual statistics during this event. If people would add their actual rem usage, it'll be great, because predictions are by no means supposed to be accurate: everyone's drop rate is different, and you may be hit by a bad one. Also note that cutoff is not guaranteed to be 1.1k, but this is the only landmark we got.

Some very loose and statistically unconfirmed maths:

If daily token rate is 80-120, on the fifth day you can expect around 500-600 tokens just from natural climbing (may be closer to 600, since early acquisition rate is higher, this is indirectly supported by the fact that ~10k players reached 560 tokens by the end of last FH - see p. 33 JGT's comments, and 10k cutoff is pretty competetive during TR)

To pass the 1100 cutoff, you'd need about 500-600 more tokens, so you'd have to spend about 5-6 days (7200-8600 HP) worth of items: Actual reports show even lower item usage.
 * 14-17 rems with 500 HP,
 * 18-22 rems with 400HP,
 * 24-29 rems with 300HP,
 * 36-43 rems with 200HP.


 * 20 rems with 300HP (RashidiNaemm)


 * 40 rems with 200HP (Unnamed WC)

(thanks, guys, btw, if you don't want being cited, just mention it in the comments) 