Talk:"Sleepwalker's Flight"/@comment-190.233.208.110-20130724164019/@comment-212.220.206.50-20130724165253

I hope at least someone will get my point. sigh, I fail at explaining stuff forever...

The rate at which the jewels drop is based on the amount of completed jewel sets, and it decreases the further down the event you are. It's close to 80-90 jewels per hp in the start, and the rate slowly drops as you work your way through completions until it's (estimated, perhaps incorrectly) 1 jewel per 100 hp at 51 completions. These are both random numbers, but one is 90% chance of getting a jewel on a single tap, and the other is 1% chance. So, while both are random, they are wildly different.

On previous events Zynga's random function were rather easy to estimate based on data collected by the community. This time, it's ongoing, and if the initial estimations are correct, then  Zynga screwed up, otherwise new data by people who've reached 50 completions - or better yet, 70 completions is welcome to reverse engineer the drop rates.